Monday, 3 January 2022

The Covid-Omicron show.

Sitting watching the news on the BBC (I have to do it just to have a rough idea of what’s going outside my bubble of one … at most a few more than one). And then comparing to all the other mainstream news outlets I currently have access to. I am compelled to think, I am actually watching  Covid/Omicron show. Endless punditry and opinion. To be entirely fair to the BBC, it’s also Al Jazeera, RT, Sky, and even GB News (though the GB News take on things are more in line with my opinion, based on information gleaned outside the mainstream media … see links below).

What’s actually going on if you look beyond the demands for more money from the government (nuanced reactive money to cover losses caused by staff absence, not mandatory not by lockdown)? That’s a difficult question to answer. Let's say "My business usually makes a £1000 a day … on Tuesday it only made £500. Can the government make up the difference?" That is a slight oversimplification, and deliberately so. It’s deliberately broad brush, because the sensible will immediately find layers of complexity in the notion. It isn’t impossible to create measures, however, it may be prohibitively expensive in terms of administrative overheads, unless the tax system is used as the input-output buffer. Again, not impossible, but whenever you add layers to systems, you lose clarity, and at this stage ripping out a system and trying to replace it with something bespoke … again why? Crisis end. This crisis is coming to an end (there is a massive caveat to that further down).

Back to the question of what’s actually going on in the wider UK as far as Covid-19-Omicron-Variant is concerned. Not much it seems, 100,000 infections plateauing, a lot of staff absence due to positive tests. The result being a train timetable change in Scotland and a critical incident being declared by Lincolnshire Hospital trust due to staff absence. Hospitality is still suffering from staff shortages, and people are self-regulating themselves away from socialising outside of their immediate bubbles.

I’m going to suggest that the pundits who are suggesting there needs to be even more testing are not thinking clearly. The testing-for-Covid-industry is booming, and positive Covid tests that result in staff absence are jerking the economy like an eager dog on a leash. Herd immunity and the spread of Omicron are likely to be the key to ending the current `not really a crisis’ crisis. Yes, I wrote that and published it.

There are so many fronts to argue on, you spend the whole of the rest of your life arguing the toss about your opinion and where you gathered your facts that formed your opinion. My little voice mostly unheard in an unknown corner of the internet is an irrelevance in the grand scheme of things, but I can’t sit idly by and be counted with the sheep and the useful idiots. So, to this end I’ll leave this digital impression here as my personal testament, that I disagree with the sheep and the useful idiots … never mind those in the pharmaceutical industry who have realised that all their dreams have come true … for a while.

The sheep, I think just love the pandemic and being told what to do. It’s easy comfort, you can signal your virtue and look like a law-abiding citizen, shed non-friends and irrelevant social engagement by the expedient use of plague … and you will be applauded for it … win win. Crack on, as your freedoms are curtailed, and random uncertainty is introduced into your life, by other well-meaning but misinformed partisans; or by petty bureaucrats in your workplace, on the bus, the tube, the miserable whining hypochondriac who shares office space with you and needs a drama to spread their own misery to anyone else they can. Crisis perpetuators at all levels of society, a semi-hive mind driven by a nebulous cloud of finger-wagging, fear of being different, fear of being outcast, while simultaneously out-casting-self (it’s tail eating of the first order, and would be hilarious if it wasn’t so frightening).

Useful idiots, those who have found a cause, a lever for financial or political gain. Crisis perpetuators, who are using low-grade Machiavellian machinations for their cause, and driving the fear of uncertainty, to create uncertainty. Above them are the `Vile expedient arseholes’. Let’s throw the broadest figures we can at the pharmaceutical industry, so we know what the Borg Queen at the head of the collective is all about. Currently, $1000 dollars per second are going to pharmaceutical companies, approximately $90million daily for Covid related products. Lobbyist’s outnumber congressmen three to one in America and it is estimated that the pharmaceutical industry has spent $266-million dollars on lobbying since the start of the pandemic, and there is talk about the pandemic rolling on until 2024. It’s 2022, the pandemic has been with us for two years already. Do you want two more years? Do you want the pandemic as the world's president? Four years that’s a presidential term, that is how long the pharmaceutical industry projects this rolling on for. Buy shares in big-pharma … if you have £52 going spare for a Pfizer share.

Let us today be thankful, that our government is tracking the optimistic line rather than kowtowing to demands for more restrictions, and actually looks to be following the data, rather than the forecasts, which are based on models, that have been designed around worst-case scenarios, and to a greater or lesser degree have been consistently wrong (wide of the worst-case scenario) since the outset of the pandemic.

In the beginning when the CCP (Chinese Communist Party) was playing fast and loose with numbers and the truth, while the BBC amongst others was ramping up the fear, and Covid variously moved from killing less than 1% to killing more than 6% in periods measured in 24hours (the number of dead relative to the number of hospitalisations in Wuhan). I was all over it. I joined a group to dispel misinformation and to point people in the direction of the right information. I was shitting bricks, this SARS (severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome) could and likely would kill me, so I believed. I still believe given my asthma and the medication I take for it -Montelukast, an immune suppressant for a system that Covid attacks-  though I have found no papers looking at asthma drugs and Covid outside those steroids used for severe asthma- that for me Covid could be deadly. However, I have been double vaccinated and boosted, I look after my health and fitness, I take care of myself (even in trying times). I stay abreast of the actual science around Covid, not the media distillation, or the projections from the models. And what I see now doesn’t bother me nearly as much as the financial and social fallout from Covid.

Tangent: Note the public health messaging about looking after your health, diet and fitness has slipped off the agenda. Many luminaries of the scientific community and alternative media world have been asking this question. Joe Rogan springs to mind. Could it be that unhealthy lifestyles and the medicines that treat them would be an incentive for the pharmaceutical industry to lobby against health messaging for the general public? Or are people genuinely too lazy and too reliant on medicine to fix things after the fact? Rather than mitigate problems with lifestyle choices?

Anyway, rant over, here’s some links to the Journal of the American Medical Association. This is the source.

The front page for the journals Coronavirus recourse centre.

https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/pages/coronavirus-alert

Now historic articles. January, February, March 2020.

1.  https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2760500

 2. https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762997

3.   https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762688

The latest from South Africa (specifically regarding Omicron)

4. https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2787776

Compare and contrast the content of article 2. Above with the content of article 4.

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